Betting Lines
| Spread | DAY -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAY +21 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | DAY -16.1 (+4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.3 (+0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAY -13.1 (+7.9) | 130.1 (-1.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAY -12.1 (+8.9) | 130.0 (-1.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAY -13.7 (+7.3) | 131.0 (-2.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAY -13.2 (+7.8) | 130.9 (-1.9) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | DAY 78 – 66 DUQ |
| Jan 14, 2026 | DAY 71 – 65 DUQ |
| Feb 15, 2025 | DAY 77 – 76 DUQ |
| Jan 22, 2025 | DAY 82 – 62 DUQ |
| Mar 15, 2024 | DUQ 65 – 57 DAY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAY | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 6-24 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 1-16 |
| Home | 13-4 | 3-11 |
| Away | 7-6 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L17 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.2 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 8.8 (#61) | -4.2 (#241) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.21 (#88) | -0.88 (#247) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.65 (#81) | -0.85 (#233) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#92) | 0.452 (#260) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAY | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 15.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 76.9% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.9% | 15.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.