Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MILW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NKU +36 | 114 | Lost |
| Massey | NKU -1.6 (-34.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.0 (-21.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NKU -3.3 (-32.7) | 135.2 (-21.2) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NKU -2.6 (-33.4) | 137.9 (-23.9) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NKU -2.9 (-33.1) | 139.3 (-25.3) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NKU -3.2 (-32.8) | 136.2 (-22.2) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | NKU 67 – 62 MILW |
| Jan 10, 2026 | NKU 85 – 67 MILW |
| Feb 16, 2025 | MILW 92 – 70 NKU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | MILW 79 – 59 NKU |
| Mar 12, 2024 | MILW 82 – 75 NKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MILW | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 8-14 | 14-6 |
| Home | 6-10 | 12-4 |
| Away | 4-10 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.5 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 65.8 |
| Massey | -9.4 (#316) | -4.7 (#251) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.27 (#333) | -0.89 (#248) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.59 (#327) | -1.30 (#264) |
| RPI | 0.395 (#336) | 0.448 (#264) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MILW | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 13.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 36.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 17.9% |
Game Analysis
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