Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MOST +4 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | DRKE -0.9 (-4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.1 (-16.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -2.3 (-6.3) | 140.8 (-12.8) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -1.8 (-5.8) | 146.2 (-18.2) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -1.5 (-5.5) | 146.6 (-18.6) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -1.2 (-5.2) | 145.1 (-17.1) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 2, 2025 | DRKE 68 – 60 MOST |
| Jan 25, 2025 | DRKE 69 – 62 MOST |
| Jan 25, 2024 | MOST 83 – 80 DRKE |
| Dec 2, 2023 | DRKE 74 – 57 MOST |
| Jan 19, 2023 | MOST 65 – 62 DRKE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-11 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 13-5 |
| Home | 14-3 | 12-4 |
| Away | 8-2 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 3-6 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.0 | 69.3 |
| Massey | 6.6 (#85) | 8.8 (#60) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.81 (#114) | 0.80 (#116) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.89 (#117) | 1.45 (#91) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#117) | 0.539 (#103) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 47.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 55.0% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 75.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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