Betting Lines
| Spread | MINN -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEB +13 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | MINN -4.5 (+17.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.2 (-4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MINN -4.2 (+17.2) | 144.4 (-1.4) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MINN -3.8 (+16.8) | 145.0 (-2.0) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MINN -4.0 (+17.0) | 144.7 (-1.7) | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MINN -4.1 (+17.1) | 144.0 (-1.0) | 33% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | NEB 76 – 57 MINN |
| Mar 1, 2025 | MINN 67 – 65 NEB |
| Feb 25, 2024 | NEB 73 – 55 MINN |
| Dec 7, 2023 | MINN 76 – 65 NEB |
| Mar 9, 2023 | MINN 78 – 75 NEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEB | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 13-17 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 4-16 |
| Home | 7-12 | 8-7 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 67.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.5 | 69.2 |
| Massey | -1.7 (#202) | 6.0 (#91) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.70 (#238) | 1.53 (#68) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.36 (#200) | 1.84 (#71) |
| RPI | 0.460 (#246) | 0.568 (#64) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEB | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 6.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 19.8% | 18.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 16.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 14.9% |
Game Analysis
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