Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SAM +5 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | WOF -3.7 (+8.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.6 (-21.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -3.7 (+8.7) | 142.7 (-17.7) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WOF -1.4 (+6.4) | 145.3 (-20.3) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -1.6 (+6.6) | 144.9 (-19.9) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -2.4 (+7.4) | 143.4 (-18.4) | 43% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | SAM 97 – 80 WOF |
| Jan 21, 2026 | WOF 88 – 78 SAM |
| Feb 15, 2025 | SAM 76 – 68 WOF |
| Jan 25, 2025 | SAM 77 – 61 WOF |
| Feb 29, 2024 | WOF 91 – 69 SAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SAM | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 10-8 |
| Home | 13-2 | 11-4 |
| Away | 5-8 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 66.7 |
| Massey | -2.6 (#220) | 4.2 (#110) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#154) | 0.41 (#142) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#175) | 0.53 (#136) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#165) | 0.503 (#173) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SAM | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 54.6% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 76.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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