We live on blood / We are Sparta F.C "Theme from Sparta FC" - The Fall
Alico Arena · February 10, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread FGCU -7.5 Home covered
O/U 141.0 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total FGCU win
Actual FGCU +32 152 Won
Massey FGCU -7.4 (+24.6) — —
Massey Totals — 140.4 (+11.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 90% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 89% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ FGCU -5.7 (+26.3) 147.0 (+5.0) 70% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML FGCU -6.5 (+25.5) 141.7 (+10.3) 73% ✓
Baseline ML FGCU -6.8 (+25.2) 143.2 (+8.8) 72% ✓
Baseline Plus ML FGCU -6.8 (+25.2) 146.3 (+5.7) 72% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 4, 2026 FGCU 69 – 58 UNA
Jan 30, 2026 FGCU 72 – 64 UNA
Jan 3, 2026 FGCU 72 – 55 UNA
Jan 10, 2025 FGCU 75 – 70 UNA
Feb 4, 2024 UNA 70 – 69 FGCU

Game Analysis

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