You'll work harder with a gun in your back, for a bowl of rice a day. "Holiday In Cambodia" - The Dead Kennedys
Fairfield Stags
60 – 69
FINAL Conference
Quinnipiac Bobcats
Metro Conference · Total Mortgage Arena · February 10, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread FAIR -5.0 Away covered
O/U 141.0 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total FAIR win
Actual QUIN +9 129 Lost
Massey FAIR -6.7 (-15.7) — —
Massey Totals — 143.2 (-14.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 63% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 68% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ FAIR -3.2 (-12.2) 140.6 (-11.6) 65% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML FAIR -4.8 (-13.8) 142.9 (-13.9) 71% ✗
Baseline ML FAIR -4.8 (-13.8) 142.8 (-13.8) 71% ✗
Baseline Plus ML FAIR -5.0 (-14.0) 143.4 (-14.4) 71% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 22, 2026 FAIR 85 – 79 QUIN
Feb 1, 2026 QUIN 72 – 65 FAIR
Mar 9, 2025 FAIR 83 – 74 QUIN
Feb 1, 2025 QUIN 81 – 69 FAIR
Feb 24, 2024 FAIR 85 – 81 QUIN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings FAIR QUIN
Overall 15-18 14-17
Conference 8-12 7-13
Home 6-9 8-7
Away 8-8 4-9
Neutral 1-1 2-1
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 66.5 70.8
Avg Pts Against 66.3 72.1
Massey -1.0 (#186) -4.6 (#249)
Bradley-Terry -0.64 (#228) -0.63 (#227)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.77 (#225) -0.93 (#239)
RPI 0.477 (#207) 0.449 (#262)
Shooting & Four Factors FAIR QUIN
FG% 43.8% 43.4%
3PT% 33.1% 34.0%
REB / G 34.8 34.7
OREB / G 9.5 9.8
AST / TO 1.02 1.07
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.2% 50.7%
TOV% 16.7% 18.8%
ORB% 27.7% 28.4%
FT Rate 16.8% 20.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.3% 50.8%
Opp TOV% 16.3% 18.0%
DRB% 73.5% 71.8%
Opp FT Rate 21.8% 21.5%

Game Analysis

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