Betting Lines
| Spread | UMES -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UMES +8 | 108 | Lost |
| Massey | UMES -11.3 (+3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.9 (-19.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UMES -10.4 (+2.4) | 126.9 (-18.9) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UMES -10.0 (+2.0) | 128.2 (-20.2) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UMES -9.9 (+1.9) | 123.1 (-15.1) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UMES -11.1 (+3.1) | 127.8 (-19.8) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | DSU 57 – 56 UMES |
| Jan 31, 2026 | DSU 65 – 57 UMES |
| Mar 7, 2025 | DSU 75 – 68 UMES |
| Jan 25, 2025 | DSU 73 – 66 UMES |
| Mar 8, 2024 | UMES 67 – 59 DSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DSU | UMES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 2-26 | 11-16 |
| Conference | 0-14 | 6-8 |
| Home | 2-11 | 6-4 |
| Away | 0-13 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L25 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.6 | 62.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 68.7 |
| Massey | -21.6 (#358) | -7.2 (#289) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.83 (#358) | -1.33 (#283) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -6.31 (#358) | -2.15 (#309) |
| RPI | 0.349 (#354) | 0.445 (#266) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DSU | UMES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.8% | 38.1% |
| 3PT% | 28.4% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.46 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.2% | 44.8% |
| TOV% | 25.3% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 23.0% |
| DRB% | 63.2% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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