Well you know that it's a shame and a pity you were raised up in the city / And you never learned nothing about country ways "Not So Sweet Martha Lorraine" - Country Joe and the Fish
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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35–20 on winners spread MAE 7.0 55 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
New Haven @ Fairleigh Dickinson +0.5 122.4 52% 84–77 ✗
Vermont @ NJIT -1.8 139.4 41% 70–64 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Elon +6.5 147.6 76% 102–82 ✗
Furman @ Wofford +1.2 144.9 56% 76–67 ✗
New Orleans @ Lamar +1.8 145.1 59% 77–71 ✗
Eastern Kentucky @ Bellarmine +2.4 153.7 62% 95–92 ✗
Austin Peay @ Jacksonville -7.2 139.0 23% 65–61 ✓
Texas Southern @ Mississippi Valley State -11.6 141.1 14% 71–72 ✗
Illinois @ UCLA -6.4 147.5 28% 94–95 ✗
Illinois State @ Bradley +1.0 143.2 58% 60–74 ✓
Indiana State @ Belmont +14.1 154.1 88% 70–87 ✓
Pepperdine @ Oregon State +8.7 142.5 82% 73–83 ✓
New Mexico @ Fresno State -6.4 147.3 28% 80–78 ✓
Wyoming @ Grand Canyon +6.7 142.6 76% 70–65 ✗
South Dakota @ Oral Roberts -0.5 149.7 43% 62–67 ✗
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ McNeese +13.2 136.7 88% 54–70 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Northern Colorado +11.7 145.2 88% 77–78 ✓
Providence @ DePaul +1.6 153.3 59% 71–68 ✗
Texas A&M @ Oklahoma -0.5 161.5 47% 75–71 ✓
Kentucky @ Auburn +2.6 155.0 59% 74–75 ✓
Pacific @ Gonzaga +18.0 143.4 91% 62–71 ✓
UCF @ Utah -2.6 150.7 38% 73–71 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ Long Beach State -3.1 153.1 34% 78–76 ✓
UTEP @ New Mexico State +6.7 139.9 74% 63–67 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Cal State Bakersfield -6.4 154.3 25% 88–80 ✓
Montana @ Weber State +1.5 148.8 57% 72–92 ✓
Utah State @ Nevada -4.0 147.6 32% 77–80 ✗
Santa Clara @ San Francisco -7.4 150.9 25% 94–73 ✓
Portland @ Seattle U +8.0 136.7 81% 59–71 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Hawai'i +5.3 145.5 71% 75–78 ✓
UC San Diego @ UC Irvine +3.5 135.2 69% 71–69 ✗
Idaho @ Sacramento State -2.2 154.0 42% 86–80 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Washington State -7.6 143.4 24% 83–67 ✓
Iowa State @ BYU -1.4 153.6 44% 69–79 ✗
American University @ Lafayette -2.2 137.2 38% 75–61 ✓
UAB @ Memphis +4.5 144.4 68% 78–67 ✗
Holy Cross @ Bucknell +1.0 134.2 50% 72–63 ✗
Boston University @ Lehigh -0.7 146.8 44% 67–70 ✗
Niagara @ Rider -0.4 128.7 39% 62–67 ✗
Ohio State @ Michigan State +8.6 148.6 80% 60–66 ✓
Iona @ Merrimack +6.7 134.2 75% 86–88 ✓
Green Bay @ Detroit Mercy +0.4 145.3 51% 70–74 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Marist +9.2 138.7 82% 63–65 ✓
Rice @ Tulane +5.4 143.5 72% 75–81 ✓
Fairfield @ Quinnipiac +5.9 142.0 73% 85–79 ✗
Northern Kentucky @ Youngstown State +2.2 148.6 64% 58–64 ✓
Robert Morris @ Wright State +4.3 146.2 69% 81–68 ✗
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Cleveland State -1.3 155.0 44% 92–86 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Siena +4.4 135.7 66% 63–72 ✓
Canisius @ Mount St. Mary's +7.3 131.7 74% 47–68 ✓
Towson @ Drexel -0.4 127.3 46% 62–68 ✗
Milwaukee @ Oakland +8.0 155.6 79% 70–81 ✓
Iowa @ Wisconsin +2.4 144.6 62% 71–84 ✓
UTSA @ Tulsa +20.8 151.2 90% 74–100 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ North Texas +0.4 138.0 52% 72–73 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.