Betting Lines
| Spread | TLSA -21.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Over |
| Money | TLSA -5000 UTSA +1800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TLSA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TLSA +26 | 174 | Won |
| Massey | TLSA -27.1 (-1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.1 (+16.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TLSA -24.6 (+1.4) | 152.1 (+21.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | TLSA -18.3 (+7.7) | 153.4 (+20.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | TLSA -20.8 (+5.2) | 151.2 (+22.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TLSA -22.5 (+3.5) | 151.3 (+22.7) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2025 | TLSA 80 – 76 UTSA |
| Jan 8, 2025 | TLSA 82 – 77 UTSA |
| Feb 29, 2024 | UTSA 89 – 73 TLSA |
| Jan 18, 2024 | TLSA 107 – 78 UTSA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TLSA | UTSA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-8 | 5-25 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 1-17 |
| Home | 16-2 | 2-12 |
| Away | 8-4 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.9 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 82.9 |
| Massey | 10.1 (#56) | -14.2 (#345) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.37 (#76) | -1.98 (#329) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.70 (#77) | -2.39 (#327) |
| RPI | 0.571 (#60) | 0.424 (#321) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TLSA | UTSA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.9% | 38.2% |
| 3PT% | 39.5% | 28.2% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.0% | 44.1% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 32.4% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 61.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.