Betting Lines
| Spread | FDU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 123.5 Over |
| Money | FDU -142 NHVN +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FDU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NHVN +7 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | FDU -2.8 (-9.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.0 (+37.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FDU -1.1 (-8.1) | 126.6 (+34.4) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FDU -0.5 (-7.5) | 122.4 (+38.6) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FDU -1.1 (-8.1) | 123.7 (+37.3) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FDU -1.0 (-8.0) | 127.0 (+34.0) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | NHVN 65 – 55 FDU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FDU | NHVN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 9-9 |
| Home | 8-6 | 9-6 |
| Away | 3-15 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.1 | 61.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 67.4 |
| Massey | -11.3 (#326) | -11.2 (#325) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.18 (#341) | -1.78 (#323) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.76 (#339) | -2.36 (#322) |
| RPI | 0.420 (#326) | 0.442 (#292) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FDU | NHVN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 29.1% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 30.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.0% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 22.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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