They were all in love with dying, they we're doing it in Texas. "Pepper" - Butthole Surfers
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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30–22 on winners spread MAE 10.0 52 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
BYU @ Utah -4.5 151.1 30% 69–73 ✗
James Madison @ Old Dominion -7.7 157.7 23% 84–69 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ South Dakota +7.7 139.0 77% 73–78 ✓
Akron @ Northern Kentucky +3.3 133.4 61% 77–76 ✗
Western Illinois @ Green Bay +8.4 133.7 78% 68–59 ✗
Kennesaw State @ South Carolina Upstate +2.7 152.3 62% 84–77 ✗
Southeast Missouri State @ Purdue Fort Wayne +22.1 144.9 91% 80–89 ✓
Norfolk State @ Illinois State +5.5 133.5 71% 64–58 ✗
Sam Houston @ Missouri State +7.5 147.2 78% 60–69 ✓
South Dakota State @ Wichita State +3.3 143.0 66% 79–69 ✗
UCLA @ Villanova +7.8 133.9 74% 56–65 ✓
Pacific @ Fresno State +10.2 139.4 85% 56–89 ✓
Murray State @ Austin Peay +0.4 136.7 50% 49–53 ✓
Drake @ Nevada +3.4 145.8 67% 72–53 ✗
NJIT @ Wake Forest +17.8 148.4 90% 59–83 ✓
Idaho State @ Southern Utah +5.3 141.5 71% 74–82 ✓
Rutgers @ Seton Hall +4.6 133.5 67% 70–63 ✗
Belmont @ Middle Tennessee +0.7 141.3 50% 75–65 ✗
Notre Dame @ Marquette +19.2 135.7 91% 59–78 ✓
Cal Poly @ Weber State +10.2 131.9 82% 50–78 ✓
UTEP @ Oregon +13.9 144.0 87% 49–71 ✓
Idaho @ Utah Tech +6.9 142.0 76% 63–62 ✗
UC San Diego @ Pepperdine +2.9 139.7 63% 62–68 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ UNLV -2.4 140.4 41% 78–75 ✓
UC Irvine @ San Diego State +9.0 143.1 80% 62–63 ✓
Arizona State @ San Diego -0.8 140.3 44% 84–89 ✗
Gonzaga @ Washington +3.5 152.2 62% 73–78 ✓
North Texas @ Fordham -3.2 131.1 34% 59–60 ✗
Brown @ Providence +14.2 139.6 87% 54–74 ✓
Winthrop @ Little Rock +2.8 156.0 59% 85–68 ✗
Boston University @ Wagner +2.0 126.7 56% 73–59 ✗
Princeton @ Saint Joseph's +1.9 139.2 49% 70–74 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Iowa State +18.5 145.2 89% 56–107 ✓
Colorado @ Miami +1.2 150.6 60% 90–63 ✗
SIU Edwardsville @ Ball State +3.4 135.4 62% 71–83 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Northwestern +16.9 138.5 90% 59–91 ✓
Rhode Island @ Charleston +6.7 145.1 75% 70–85 ✓
Alcorn State @ VCU +14.4 146.2 87% 58–86 ✓
St. Thomas-Minnesota @ Chicago State -1.7 131.5 36% 66–50 ✓
Morehead State @ North Alabama +3.5 142.9 64% 86–77 ✗
Central Arkansas @ Eastern Illinois +10.1 135.5 81% 73–70 ✗
Memphis @ Texas A&M +9.9 149.1 80% 81–75 ✗
Long Beach State @ USC +10.8 151.7 82% 84–79 ✗
Ole Miss @ UCF +8.6 140.5 74% 70–68 ✗
Tennessee Tech @ East Tennessee State +9.1 138.5 81% 72–73 ✓
Michigan @ Iowa +6.5 156.4 77% 90–80 ✗
Elon @ UNC Greensboro +12.4 154.8 87% 73–82 ✓
St. John's @ Boston College -1.5 147.5 43% 80–86 ✗
Tennessee State @ Lipscomb +8.0 147.7 79% 71–78 ✓
Saint Francis @ Iona +12.7 135.6 86% 54–61 ✓
Tulsa @ Oklahoma State +0.7 140.9 49% 57–72 ✓
Michigan State @ Nebraska +1.9 135.7 64% 70–77 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.