Everybody know I'm a motherfucking monster. "Monster" - Kanye West
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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37–11 on winners spread MAE 7.9 48 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Hofstra @ Purdue +17.3 149.8 89% 66–85 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Tennessee +24.4 133.9 91% 49–84 ✓
Robert Morris @ Central Michigan +4.6 136.7 70% 71–66 ✗
Rider @ Stonehill +2.4 147.2 60% 78–67 ✗
Sacred Heart @ Fairfield +6.0 138.8 71% 59–61 ✓
Alabama State @ North Alabama +8.2 146.1 79% 63–71 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Holy Cross -8.6 136.6 17% 75–71 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Hampton +2.4 141.4 58% 61–66 ✓
NJIT @ Army +6.7 142.9 74% 62–63 ✓
Delaware State @ Delaware +12.7 142.6 87% 69–77 ✓
Western Carolina @ Davidson +9.9 150.3 81% 64–72 ✓
William & Mary @ Old Dominion +6.5 135.8 74% 62–72 ✓
Jacksonville @ VCU +3.8 126.4 61% 73–62 ✗
Cleveland State @ St. Bonaventure +3.5 134.9 62% 42–61 ✓
Brown @ Rhode Island +0.7 130.5 50% 59–58 ✗
Florida Gulf Coast @ Florida Atlantic +9.7 140.0 79% 53–85 ✓
Pennsylvania @ Villanova +5.2 148.7 71% 59–70 ✓
Navy @ West Virginia +16.6 146.1 88% 64–85 ✓
Boston University @ Notre Dame +7.5 136.1 76% 75–81 ✓
Cornell @ Miami +10.4 148.2 82% 105–107 ✓
Colgate @ Binghamton -6.4 150.2 27% 81–62 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Illinois State +6.9 145.8 74% 81–87 ✓
Ball State @ Eastern Illinois -7.3 135.2 22% 76–59 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Tulsa +2.3 153.4 59% 76–72 ✗
Campbell @ Evansville -3.4 135.5 36% 66–72 ✗
Indiana State @ Southern Illinois +2.8 139.4 66% 74–71 ✗
Omaha @ Drake +13.4 139.1 88% 65–78 ✓
Nicholls @ Texas Tech +20.4 139.2 91% 71–78 ✓
Dayton @ Virginia Tech +9.0 133.0 79% 49–77 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Southeast Missouri State +8.1 138.1 78% 89–68 ✗
Nebraska @ Indiana +11.1 136.2 87% 65–81 ✓
Manhattan @ Providence +12.1 141.5 86% 59–99 ✓
UConn @ Florida -2.9 148.6 28% 75–54 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Washington State +13.7 137.7 86% 47–68 ✓
Utah Valley @ BYU +3.9 147.2 67% 75–60 ✗
Loyola Marymount @ Grand Canyon +5.1 136.6 70% 69–65 ✗
Arizona State @ SMU -6.3 132.9 21% 75–57 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Vanderbilt +3.0 137.6 58% 74–75 ✓
Towson @ Clemson +5.6 138.9 70% 75–80 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ Fresno State +7.5 130.8 73% 56–65 ✓
New Mexico State @ Santa Clara +5.4 152.7 73% 65–66 ✓
Denver @ Sacramento State +2.9 147.1 63% 85–87 ✓
Weber State @ California Baptist +10.5 131.6 83% 52–64 ✓
Missouri State @ Saint Mary's +13.4 127.4 87% 46–66 ✓
Hawai'i @ UNLV +4.1 130.9 70% 62–77 ✓
Eastern Washington @ California +0.8 129.6 50% 50–48 ✗
Merrimack @ San Francisco +15.4 137.1 89% 51–69 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ USC +8.2 143.7 79% 50–64 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.