Betting Lines
| Spread | TLSA -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | TLSA -188 DETM +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TLSA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DETM +4 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | TLSA -3.3 (-7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.6 (-9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TLSA -1.9 (-5.9) | 150.0 (-2.0) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TLSA -2.5 (-6.5) | 152.2 (-4.2) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TLSA -2.3 (-6.3) | 153.4 (-5.4) | 59% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TLSA -2.6 (-6.6) | 148.3 (-0.3) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2024 | TLSA 63 – 44 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TLSA | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-25 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 1-17 | 9-11 |
| Home | 4-10 | 9-5 |
| Away | 0-12 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L12 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.3 | 76.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 75.7 |
| Massey | -3.3 (#236) | -1.3 (#202) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.86 (#264) | 0.19 (#161) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.79 (#234) | 0.23 (#162) |
| RPI | 0.409 (#309) | 0.517 (#152) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TLSA | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 40.3% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.1% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 65.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.4% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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