Betting Lines
| Spread | ARMY -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | ARMY -333 NJIT +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARMY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARMY +1 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | ARMY -10.6 (-9.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.8 (-19.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARMY -6.7 (-5.7) | 139.8 (-14.8) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARMY -7.3 (-6.3) | 141.4 (-16.4) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARMY -6.7 (-5.7) | 142.9 (-17.9) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARMY -7.2 (-6.2) | 142.3 (-17.3) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 11, 2021 | ARMY 66 – 49 NJIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARMY | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 7-23 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 4-12 |
| Home | 10-5 | 5-8 |
| Away | 7-8 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 73.5 |
| Massey | -4.5 (#258) | -9.8 (#329) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.39 (#293) | -1.97 (#319) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.83 (#292) | -2.41 (#311) |
| RPI | 0.404 (#316) | 0.390 (#329) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARMY | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 6.1 | 7.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.4% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 20.5% | 21.2% |
| FT Rate | 32.8% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 14.0% |
| DRB% | 77.0% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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