Betting Lines
| Spread | GCU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | GCU -163 LMU +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LMU +4 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | GCU -5.4 (-9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.6 (+0.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GCU -4.9 (-8.9) | 134.7 (-0.7) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GCU -5.8 (-9.8) | 132.2 (+1.8) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GCU -5.1 (-9.1) | 136.6 (-2.6) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GCU -5.4 (-9.4) | 138.0 (-4.0) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 30, 2021 | GCU 78 – 72 LMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GCU | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 19-12 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 9-7 |
| Home | 14-4 | 13-3 |
| Away | 6-5 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 73.9 |
| Massey | 3.7 (#104) | 3.7 (#105) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.09 (#95) | 1.02 (#102) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.35 (#103) | 1.30 (#105) |
| RPI | 0.562 (#83) | 0.560 (#84) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GCU | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.7% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 77.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.6% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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