Betting Lines
| Spread | LMU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GCU +6 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | GCU -3.3 (-2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.2 (+18.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GCU -2.2 (-3.8) | 133.5 (+16.5) | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GCU -3.6 (-2.4) | 131.1 (+18.9) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GCU -1.1 (-4.9) | 137.5 (+12.5) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GCU -2.0 (-4.0) | 137.9 (+12.1) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 8, 2022 | LMU 69 – 65 GCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LMU | GCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-18 | 23-8 |
| Conference | 3-12 | 13-5 |
| Home | 6-7 | 15-2 |
| Away | 3-9 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.1 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 62.0 |
| Massey | -5.7 (#281) | 4.1 (#106) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.14 (#195) | 1.04 (#101) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.16 (#194) | 1.37 (#109) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#149) | 0.482 (#202) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LMU | GCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 38.4% |
| REB / G | 29.6 | 43.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 15.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 23.2% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 43.3% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 43.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 76.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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