Betting Lines
| Spread | UNA -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | UNA -250 ALST +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNA +8 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | UNA -11.7 (-3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.2 (-16.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNA -8.4 (-0.4) | 146.9 (-12.9) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNA -7.6 (+0.4) | 148.0 (-14.0) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNA -8.2 (-0.2) | 146.1 (-12.1) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNA -8.5 (-0.5) | 146.1 (-12.1) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 28, 2021 | UNA 81 – 69 ALST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNA | ALST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 6-12 |
| Home | 9-4 | 5-5 |
| Away | 8-10 | 2-18 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 62.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -6.5 (#294) | -12.9 (#347) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.54 (#231) | -1.61 (#303) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.68 (#285) | -2.39 (#310) |
| RPI | 0.444 (#260) | 0.436 (#275) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNA | ALST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 34.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 14.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 38.7% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 33.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 15.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.0% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 63.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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