Betting Lines
| Spread | FAIR -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | FAIR -300 SHU +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAIR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAIR +2 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | FAIR -8.7 (-6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.5 (-21.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAIR -5.3 (-3.3) | 140.5 (-20.5) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAIR -5.6 (-3.6) | 139.9 (-19.9) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAIR -6.0 (-4.0) | 138.8 (-18.8) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAIR -5.8 (-3.8) | 140.2 (-20.2) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | FAIR 78 – 68 SHU |
| Feb 6, 2026 | FAIR 92 – 87 SHU |
| Mar 12, 2025 | SHU 71 – 58 FAIR |
| Mar 2, 2025 | SHU 83 – 62 FAIR |
| Feb 9, 2025 | SHU 77 – 71 FAIR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAIR | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 8-8 |
| Home | 7-6 | 9-6 |
| Away | 4-10 | 7-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.2 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 71.6 |
| Massey | -3.0 (#232) | -6.5 (#293) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.01 (#274) | -0.53 (#230) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.42 (#272) | -1.29 (#264) |
| RPI | 0.431 (#283) | 0.431 (#282) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAIR | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.6% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 28.5% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 28.9% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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