That's where you'll find me, along with the lovers muggers and thieves - but they're cool people. "Dirty Water" - The Standells
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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35–11 on winners spread MAE 7.9 46 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Illinois @ Texas -0.2 135.2 51% 85–78 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Arkansas +19.5 139.1 91% 58–65 ✓
Milwaukee @ Chattanooga +5.8 145.2 72% 76–88 ✓
Lafayette @ Princeton +15.3 132.6 87% 58–69 ✓
South Carolina State @ Winthrop +6.5 158.5 77% 67–81 ✓
Charleston @ Presbyterian -8.9 141.6 17% 67–62 ✓
UMBC @ Columbia -2.7 145.9 37% 73–66 ✓
East Carolina @ UNC Wilmington +6.6 135.7 74% 61–74 ✓
American University @ Mount St. Mary's +3.1 136.2 63% 69–61 ✗
Saint Louis @ Iona +7.2 150.1 74% 62–84 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Temple +11.9 149.6 85% 60–70 ✓
Bucknell @ La Salle +0.9 138.0 52% 72–82 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ George Mason +10.3 137.4 84% 54–67 ✓
Wagner @ Fordham +9.1 138.7 82% 59–72 ✓
Vermont @ Dartmouth +2.2 141.6 58% 68–52 ✗
High Point @ Furman +6.4 155.0 71% 85–82 ✗
Coppin State @ NC State +16.4 160.3 88% 72–94 ✓
Georgia @ Georgia Tech +5.1 132.6 67% 77–79 ✓
New Hampshire @ Boston College +8.6 129.9 77% 74–71 ✗
Hartford @ St. Francis Brooklyn +10.4 136.2 85% 50–68 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Wofford +9.3 139.0 80% 61–71 ✓
North Florida @ Houston +25.3 135.5 91% 42–76 ✓
James Madison @ Virginia +6.3 143.0 75% 50–55 ✓
Tarleton State @ Baylor +11.9 152.5 86% 57–80 ✓
Jackson State @ TCU +16.3 144.7 88% 51–78 ✓
North Texas @ UT Arlington -4.9 121.1 27% 60–57 ✓
Bradley @ SIU Edwardsville +3.7 135.1 65% 56–54 ✗
Little Rock @ Memphis +19.5 148.0 91% 71–87 ✓
Green Bay @ Loyola Chicago +10.9 133.4 86% 46–70 ✓
Arkansas State @ Central Arkansas +3.1 136.1 61% 67–72 ✓
Kansas City @ Oklahoma +13.4 126.9 87% 53–75 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Kansas State +17.6 140.1 90% 64–81 ✓
Toledo @ Northern Iowa +1.7 154.6 56% 83–75 ✗
North Carolina Central @ Marquette +15.7 149.3 88% 78–90 ✓
Maryland @ Wisconsin -1.3 132.1 38% 59–64 ✗
East Texas A&M @ Wyoming +0.8 136.0 53% 76–91 ✓
Sam Houston @ Oklahoma State +1.9 132.7 48% 51–65 ✓
South Dakota State @ Montana +2.1 137.0 58% 56–81 ✓
North Dakota @ Idaho +6.0 137.7 70% 66–76 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ San José State +3.8 132.3 65% 48–58 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Pacific +8.5 152.1 80% 73–69 ✗
Iowa @ Duke -0.3 143.3 46% 62–74 ✗
Nevada @ Pepperdine +3.4 142.4 61% 85–77 ✗
DePaul @ St. John's +9.7 156.8 84% 67–86 ✓
Siena @ Georgetown +3.0 145.3 61% 68–75 ✓
Michigan State @ Penn State +6.1 143.7 77% 67–58 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.