Betting Lines
| Spread | OU -17.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 122.5 Over |
| Money | OU -4000 KC +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OU +22 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | OU -17.2 (+4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 117.3 (+10.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OU -14.0 (+8.0) | 122.5 (+5.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OU -15.5 (+6.5) | 127.0 (+1.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OU -13.4 (+8.6) | 126.9 (+1.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OU -14.2 (+7.8) | 125.2 (+2.8) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 17, 2025 | OU 89 – 67 KC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OU | KC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 7-11 |
| Home | 9-7 | 6-8 |
| Away | 2-8 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 63.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.5 | 69.5 |
| Massey | 8.4 (#53) | -3.4 (#237) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.85 (#48) | -0.39 (#217) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.10 (#32) | -0.90 (#246) |
| RPI | 0.591 (#56) | 0.519 (#151) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OU | KC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.4% | 37.2% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 23.7% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 6.4 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 0.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 41.4% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 22.9% |
| ORB% | 22.7% | 36.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 28.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 45.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 78.5% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.5% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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