Betting Lines
| Spread | OU -30.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | OU -100000 KC +5000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OU +22 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | OU -26.9 (-4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.4 (+7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OU -25.2 (-3.2) | 147.2 (+8.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OU -22.5 (-0.5) | 143.7 (+12.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OU -25.4 (-3.4) | 143.3 (+12.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OU -25.9 (-3.9) | 146.5 (+9.5) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2022 | OU 75 – 53 KC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OU | KC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-16 | 4-27 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 1-15 |
| Home | 11-5 | 3-11 |
| Away | 4-7 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L15 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.9 | 67.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 84.8 |
| Massey | 10.1 (#60) | -12.4 (#333) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.78 (#24) | -3.52 (#354) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.93 (#27) | -4.98 (#354) |
| RPI | 0.587 (#55) | 0.332 (#357) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OU | KC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 22.5% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.60 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 43.8% |
| TOV% | 13.8% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 34.7% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 62.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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