Betting Lines
| Spread | ARST -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | CARK +138 ARST -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CARK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CARK +5 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | CARK -2.5 (+2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.6 (+6.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CARK -3.3 (+1.7) | 132.9 (+6.1) | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CARK -0.9 (+4.1) | 134.7 (+4.3) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CARK -3.1 (+1.9) | 136.1 (+2.9) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CARK -2.8 (+2.2) | 135.1 (+3.9) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2021 | ARST 95 – 82 CARK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CARK | ARST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 4-14 |
| Home | 6-8 | 10-8 |
| Away | 2-13 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 63.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.4 | 68.5 |
| Massey | -7.0 (#300) | -4.1 (#249) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.64 (#242) | -1.49 (#300) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.07 (#258) | -2.11 (#303) |
| RPI | 0.406 (#314) | 0.407 (#312) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CARK | ARST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 13.4 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 24.1% |
| FT Rate | 15.4% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.