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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
7–2 on winners
spread MAE 9.6
9 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kennesaw State
@
Charleston Southern
|
+0.3 | 142.2 | 47% | 76–65 | ✗ |
UAlbany
@
Massachusetts
|
+16.4 | 143.6 | 89% | 73–87 | ✓ |
UMass Lowell
@
Long Island University
|
-10.3 | 142.8 | 17% | 84–64 | ✓ |
Kent State
@
Gonzaga
|
+4.4 | 146.6 | 67% | 66–73 | ✓ |
Troy
@
San Diego State
|
+8.6 | 147.2 | 78% | 55–60 | ✓ |
North Dakota State
@
Portland
|
+15.9 | 150.6 | 88% | 67–62 | ✗ |
South Dakota
@
Air Force
|
+9.3 | 130.2 | 79% | 58–79 | ✓ |
Oakland
@
Syracuse
|
+11.9 | 145.9 | 87% | 66–95 | ✓ |
Yale
@
Butler
|
+2.6 | 133.6 | 58% | 61–71 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.