Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | GONZ -1200 KENT +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GONZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +7 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | GONZ -3.3 (+3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.1 (-9.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -4.4 (+2.6) | 146.6 (-7.6) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -5.8 (+1.2) | 146.8 (-7.8) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -3.5 (+3.5) | 150.2 (-11.2) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -4.3 (+2.7) | 146.6 (-7.6) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GONZ | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-6 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 14-2 | 15-3 |
| Home | 15-1 | 15-0 |
| Away | 7-2 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 9-3 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 85.2 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 66.5 |
| Massey | 12.5 (#26) | 14.6 (#14) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.01 (#42) | 1.88 (#49) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.19 (#29) | 2.86 (#41) |
| RPI | 0.649 (#12) | 0.603 (#48) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GONZ | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.9% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 39.2% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.7% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 43.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 27.4% |
| DRB% | 75.8% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 29.1% |
Game Analysis
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