The juice of the carrot, the smile of the parrot / A little drop of claret - anything that rocks "Reasons to be Cheerful, Part 3" - Ian Dury & the Blockheads
Mullins Center · December 6, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread MASS -13.0 Home covered
O/U 138.0 Over
Money MASS -1000 / UALB +650
Model Predictions
Spread Total MASS win
Actual MASS +14 160 Won
Massey MASS -21.4 (-7.4)
Massey Totals 144.2 (+15.8)
Bradley-Terry 100%
Weighted B-T 100%
Efficiency Plus ML MASS -16.0 (-2.0) 141.4 (+18.6) 89%
Baseline Tuned ML MASS -16.4 (-2.4) 143.6 (+16.4) 89%
Baseline ML MASS -16.6 (-2.6) 143.0 (+17.0) 89%
Baseline Plus ML MASS -16.8 (-2.8) 140.8 (+19.2) 89%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 8, 2025 MASS 8362 UALB
Nov 8, 2023 MASS 9271 UALB

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MASS UALB
Overall 15-16 8-23
Conference 6-12 3-13
Home 8-6 5-6
Away 3-8 2-16
Neutral 4-2 1-1
Last 5 5-0 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 69.8 66.4
Avg Pts Against 71.4 76.2
Massey 5.7 (#81) -10.4 (#330)
Bradley-Terry 2.53 (#22) -2.02 (#321)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.71 (#44) -2.84 (#321)
RPI 0.625 (#29) 0.413 (#303)
Shooting & Four Factors MASS UALB
FG% 43.1% 39.8%
3PT% 39.3% 34.4%
REB / G 37.4 30.9
OREB / G 12.0 9.9
AST / TO 1.08 0.83
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.7% 46.9%
TOV% 19.5% 18.2%
ORB% 31.9% 27.4%
FT Rate 17.3% 22.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.1% 56.3%
Opp TOV% 20.4% 17.1%
DRB% 70.6% 69.0%
Opp FT Rate 20.1% 32.1%

Game Analysis

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