Betting Lines
| Spread | MASS -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | MASS -550 UALB +380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MASS +21 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | MASS -14.1 (+6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (+3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -3.9 (+17.1) | 136.8 (+8.2) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -4.6 (+16.4) | 136.4 (+8.6) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 8, 2023 | MASS 92 – 71 UALB |
| Dec 6, 2022 | MASS 87 – 73 UALB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 7-9 |
| Home | 11-5 | 6-5 |
| Away | 2-8 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.9 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.8 | 74.5 |
| Massey | -8.0 (#268) | -4.1 (#223) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.01 (#282) | -0.30 (#160) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.81 (#283) | -0.43 (#176) |
| RPI | — | 0.500 (#10) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 28.4% |
| 3PT% | 27.8% | 16.7% |
| REB / G | 28.0 | 43.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 19.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.48 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 32.1% |
| TOV% | 24.4% | 29.6% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 38.8% |
| FT Rate | 38.2% | 14.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.1% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 32.1% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 64.3% | 61.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 46.6% |
Game Analysis
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