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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
3–2 on winners
spread MAE 10.2
5 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Northwestern
@
Michigan State
|
+4.4 | 131.0 | 69% | 70–63 | ✗ |
Oregon State
@
USC
|
+9.3 | 136.6 | 85% | 62–63 | ✓ |
Stanford
@
Arizona State
|
+9.6 | 131.2 | 84% | 64–68 | ✓ |
Utah State
@
San Francisco
|
+2.6 | 158.1 | 55% | 82–64 | ✗ |
IU Indianapolis
@
Green Bay
|
+1.9 | 134.6 | 57% | 61–68 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.