Betting Lines
| Spread | USU -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.0 Under |
| Money | SF +145 USU -165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USU +18 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | SF -0.2 (-18.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.8 (-14.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SF -2.8 (-20.8) | 152.8 (-6.8) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SF -2.6 (-20.6) | 158.1 (-12.1) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SF -1.8 (-19.8) | 155.4 (-9.4) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SF -1.6 (-19.6) | 156.8 (-10.8) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 16, 2023 | USU 54 – 53 SF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SF | USU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 26-9 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 13-5 |
| Home | 11-6 | 14-2 |
| Away | 5-6 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.8 | 77.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 4.4 (#98) | 9.6 (#44) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.82 (#50) | 2.97 (#14) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.33 (#56) | 4.12 (#14) |
| RPI | 0.558 (#89) | 0.682 (#5) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SF | USU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 49.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 46.7% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 40.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 60.5% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 79.8% | 77.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.