Betting Lines
| Spread | GB -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 125.0 Over |
| Money | GB -270 IUIN +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GB +7 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | GB -5.7 (+1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.7 (-4.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GB -0.5 (+6.5) | 131.7 (-2.7) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GB -2.3 (+4.7) | 131.1 (-2.1) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GB -1.9 (+5.1) | 134.6 (-5.6) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GB -1.8 (+5.2) | 135.1 (-6.1) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | GB 75 – 59 IUIN |
| Dec 11, 2025 | GB 85 – 75 IUIN |
| Jan 23, 2025 | IUIN 86 – 77 GB |
| Dec 4, 2024 | IUIN 84 – 75 GB |
| Feb 1, 2024 | GB 79 – 56 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GB | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-29 | 5-27 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 2-18 |
| Home | 2-10 | 4-9 |
| Away | 1-17 | 0-15 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L7 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 59.3 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 78.6 |
| Massey | -16.0 (#358) | -16.3 (#359) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.63 (#355) | -2.97 (#347) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.29 (#356) | -4.21 (#345) |
| RPI | 0.395 (#324) | 0.393 (#328) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GB | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 24.8% | 27.5% |
| REB / G | 27.4 | 27.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.64 | 0.53 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.4% | 44.7% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 23.6% |
| ORB% | 20.2% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 17.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.9% | 58.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 65.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 29.4% |
Game Analysis
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