Betting Lines
| Spread | SYR -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | SYR -2000 OAK +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SYR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SYR +29 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | SYR -17.5 (+11.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.4 (+8.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SYR -13.3 (+15.7) | 147.1 (+13.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SYR -14.2 (+14.8) | 150.6 (+10.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SYR -11.9 (+17.1) | 145.9 (+15.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SYR -13.4 (+15.6) | 146.9 (+14.1) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SYR | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 11-9 |
| Home | 11-7 | 8-6 |
| Away | 5-6 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 77.9 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#175) | -11.8 (#343) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.09 (#187) | -3.02 (#347) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#217) | -4.05 (#343) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#154) | 0.342 (#356) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SYR | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 30.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 22.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 56.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 65.7% | 64.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.4% | 15.5% |
Game Analysis
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