Betting Lines
| Spread | SJU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.0 Under |
| Money | SJU -480 DEP +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SJU +19 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | SJU -11.3 (+7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.7 (-10.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SJU -8.8 (+10.2) | 154.8 (-1.8) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SJU -8.6 (+10.4) | 153.5 (-0.5) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SJU -9.7 (+9.3) | 156.8 (-3.8) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SJU -9.9 (+9.1) | 156.3 (-3.3) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | SJU 68 – 56 DEP |
| Dec 17, 2025 | SJU 79 – 66 DEP |
| Feb 20, 2025 | SJU 82 – 58 DEP |
| Dec 17, 2024 | SJU 89 – 61 DEP |
| Mar 6, 2024 | SJU 104 – 77 DEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJU | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 10-23 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 3-17 |
| Home | 11-6 | 7-8 |
| Away | 3-8 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.3 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 77.3 |
| Massey | 6.4 (#71) | 0.5 (#175) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.31 (#28) | 0.30 (#157) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.45 (#25) | 0.19 (#167) |
| RPI | 0.559 (#85) | 0.543 (#119) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJU | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 42.3 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.4 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 35.8% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 66.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
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