Betting Lines
| Spread | SDST -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | MONT +110 SDST -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONT +25 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | MONT -0.6 (+24.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.4 (+3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONT -2.8 (+22.2) | 135.7 (+1.3) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONT -2.2 (+22.8) | 138.1 (-1.1) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONT -2.1 (+22.9) | 137.0 (-0.0) | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDST -0.2 (+25.2) | 131.9 (+5.1) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 5, 2024 | MONT 71 – 67 SDST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONT | SDST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-14 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 10-7 | 13-5 |
| Home | 8-4 | 10-2 |
| Away | 6-9 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.5 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 70.2 |
| Massey | -2.2 (#218) | 2.5 (#129) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#239) | 0.39 (#146) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.19 (#190) | 0.12 (#171) |
| RPI | 0.466 (#226) | 0.536 (#126) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONT | SDST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 5.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 23.7% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 18.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 76.9% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.5% | 16.8% |
Game Analysis
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