Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | MONT -105 SDST -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONT +4 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | SDST -1.5 (+5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.4 (-15.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONT -1.0 (+3.0) | 150.2 (-12.2) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONT -1.2 (+2.8) | 149.3 (-11.3) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONT -2.0 (+2.0) | 148.0 (-10.0) | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONT -0.5 (+3.5) | 149.0 (-11.0) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2022 | MONT 81 – 56 SDST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONT | SDST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 11-5 |
| Home | 15-1 | 13-1 |
| Away | 7-8 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 79.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -2.2 (#203) | 4.3 (#102) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.66 (#65) | 0.78 (#108) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.83 (#60) | 1.80 (#84) |
| RPI | 0.601 (#47) | 0.505 (#158) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONT | SDST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 47.7% |
| 3PT% | 27.9% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 40.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 54.4% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 29.6% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 13.5% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 77.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.