Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCW -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | UNCW -175 ECU +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCW +13 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | UNCW -8.2 (+4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.8 (+1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCW -6.0 (+7.0) | 133.6 (+1.4) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCW -6.6 (+6.4) | 135.7 (-0.7) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCW -7.2 (+5.8) | 136.5 (-1.5) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCW -6.9 (+6.1) | 135.1 (-0.1) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 19, 2025 | UNCW 85 – 60 ECU |
| Dec 4, 2024 | UNCW 67 – 53 ECU |
| Dec 1, 2023 | ECU 74 – 66 UNCW |
| Dec 7, 2020 | ECU 88 – 78 UNCW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCW | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 6-12 |
| Home | 11-3 | 10-6 |
| Away | 8-6 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.0 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.2 | 70.5 |
| Massey | 1.4 (#153) | -1.5 (#207) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.06 (#40) | -0.10 (#186) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.78 (#40) | 0.02 (#179) |
| RPI | 0.622 (#31) | 0.468 (#223) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCW | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.1% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 28.8% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 30.7 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.2% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 28.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.3% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.