Betting Lines
| Spread | NCSU -22.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Over |
| Money | NCSU -3300 COPP +1700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCSU +22 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | NCSU -19.7 (+2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 167.4 (-1.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCSU -19.2 (+2.8) | 157.6 (+8.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NCSU -17.2 (+4.8) | 158.8 (+7.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCSU -16.4 (+5.6) | 160.3 (+5.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCSU -18.5 (+3.5) | 159.6 (+6.4) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 11, 2024 | NCSU 66 – 56 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NCSU | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 4-10 |
| Home | 15-2 | 4-6 |
| Away | 4-6 | 5-16 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 83.2 |
| Massey | 10.4 (#39) | -4.0 (#248) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.95 (#105) | 0.35 (#152) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.52 (#93) | 0.05 (#176) |
| RPI | 0.561 (#82) | 0.550 (#104) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NCSU | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 20.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 77.3% | 63.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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