Betting Lines
| Spread | NCSU -32.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCSU +10 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | NCSU -30.7 (-20.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.9 (-11.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCSU -27.0 (-17.0) | 132.6 (-10.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NCSU -27.8 (-17.8) | 136.3 (-14.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCSU -22.9 (-12.9) | 134.5 (-12.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCSU -25.7 (-15.7) | 134.0 (-12.0) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2022 | NCSU 94 – 72 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NCSU | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 6-24 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 4-10 |
| Home | 12-6 | 5-6 |
| Away | 0-11 | 1-17 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 61.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.4 | 76.9 |
| Massey | 6.6 (#78) | -19.7 (#362) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.43 (#139) | -3.86 (#362) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.80 (#126) | -5.40 (#362) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#167) | 0.356 (#352) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NCSU | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 35.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 24.7% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 29.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 0.65 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 39.0% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 58.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 66.1% | 66.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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