Betting Lines
| Spread | BC -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Over |
| Money | BC -1200 UNH +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNH +3 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | BC -13.0 (-16.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 121.9 (+23.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BC -9.0 (-12.0) | 129.4 (+15.6) | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BC -10.2 (-13.2) | 129.0 (+16.0) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BC -8.6 (-11.6) | 129.9 (+15.1) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BC -10.1 (-13.1) | 128.7 (+16.3) | 76% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BC | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 15-15 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 9-7 |
| Home | 9-7 | 11-4 |
| Away | 4-7 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 64.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 68.0 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#215) | -9.6 (#327) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.37 (#149) | -2.62 (#339) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#146) | -3.24 (#330) |
| RPI | 0.527 (#140) | 0.361 (#345) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BC | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 34.8% |
| 3PT% | 28.8% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 41.4% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 14.2% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 30.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.