Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | PRES +850 COFC -1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +5 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | COFC -11.1 (+6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.5 (-15.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -9.0 (+4.0) | 141.9 (-12.9) | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -9.5 (+4.5) | 141.9 (-12.9) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -8.9 (+3.9) | 141.6 (-12.6) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -9.0 (+4.0) | 142.7 (-13.7) | 19% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 12, 2021 | COFC 78 – 76 PRES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRES | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-27 | 31-4 |
| Conference | 1-17 | 16-2 |
| Home | 5-9 | 17-1 |
| Away | 0-15 | 11-2 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L18 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.8 | 79.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.4 | 67.2 |
| Massey | -8.9 (#318) | 7.6 (#63) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.45 (#334) | 2.63 (#21) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.73 (#318) | 3.27 (#28) |
| RPI | 0.371 (#336) | 0.688 (#3) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRES | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.9% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 74.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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