Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -10.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COFC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +2 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | COFC -12.8 (-10.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.1 (+6.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -8.5 (-6.5) | 145.0 (+9.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -8.1 (-6.1) | 144.3 (+9.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -9.1 (-7.1) | 146.8 (+7.2) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -10.9 (-8.9) | 146.2 (+7.8) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2022 | COFC 67 – 62 PRES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COFC | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Massey | 3.7 (#108) | -4.2 (#252) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.29 (#81) | 1.06 (#97) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.21 (#112) | 1.14 (#115) |
| RPI | 0.578 (#64) | 0.561 (#80) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COFC | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 36.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 27.3% |
| REB / G | 42.2 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.3 | 15.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 41.9% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 22.0% |
| ORB% | 34.3% | 37.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 16.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 55.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 77.2% | 76.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.9% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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