Betting Lines
| Spread | WYO -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | WYO -700 ETAM +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WYO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WYO +15 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | WYO -0.7 (+14.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.6 (+31.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WYO -1.2 (+13.8) | 135.6 (+31.4) | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WYO -2.2 (+12.8) | 135.4 (+31.6) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WYO -0.8 (+14.2) | 136.0 (+31.0) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WYO -1.1 (+13.9) | 136.0 (+31.0) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WYO | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 9-9 |
| Home | 7-8 | 5-5 |
| Away | 1-8 | 7-12 |
| Neutral | 1-6 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 74.2 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#271) | -0.9 (#197) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.28 (#288) | -0.14 (#189) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.69 (#288) | -0.56 (#225) |
| RPI | 0.427 (#288) | 0.506 (#170) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WYO | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 26.6% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 11.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 77.2% | 75.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 29.0% |
Game Analysis
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