Betting Lines
| Spread | SFBK -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | SFBK -300 HART +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SFBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SFBK +18 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | SFBK -13.9 (+4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.4 (-13.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SFBK -9.2 (+8.8) | 134.3 (-16.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | SFBK -8.6 (+9.4) | 134.2 (-16.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | SFBK -10.4 (+7.6) | 136.2 (-18.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SFBK -10.4 (+7.6) | 135.9 (-17.9) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 11, 2023 | SFBK 78 – 73 HART |
| Dec 17, 2022 | SFBK 67 – 51 HART |
| Dec 5, 2021 | HART 68 – 55 SFBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SFBK | HART |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Massey | -12.5 (#345) | -21.0 (#363) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.42 (#297) | -2.86 (#346) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.26 (#307) | -3.72 (#339) |
| RPI | 0.423 (#292) | 0.310 (#361) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SFBK | HART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.0% | 39.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 28.7% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 30.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.7% | 44.6% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 22.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 57.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 62.1% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 14.4% |
Game Analysis
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