Betting Lines
| Spread | HART -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | SFBK +115 HART -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SFBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HART +13 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | SFBK -1.0 (-14.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.7 (-21.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SFBK -0.7 (-13.7) | 139.3 (-16.3) | 47% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HART -0.6 (-12.4) | 137.9 (-14.9) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SFBK -0.9 (-13.9) | 138.2 (-15.2) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SFBK -0.7 (-13.7) | 139.2 (-16.2) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 11, 2023 | SFBK 78 – 73 HART |
| Dec 17, 2022 | SFBK 67 – 51 HART |
| Dec 7, 2022 | SFBK 68 – 50 HART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SFBK | HART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 9-9 |
| Home | 3-9 | 7-5 |
| Away | 7-9 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.7 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -8.9 (#318) | -4.3 (#253) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.70 (#353) | -3.19 (#344) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.14 (#351) | -4.72 (#346) |
| RPI | 0.346 (#341) | 0.342 (#342) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SFBK | HART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.2% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 27.2% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.3% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 24.1% |
| FT Rate | 15.6% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 55.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 16.8% |
Game Analysis
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