Betting Lines
| Spread | SFBK -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | SFBK -400 HART +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SFBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SFBK +5 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | SFBK -11.7 (-6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.6 (+28.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SFBK -8.3 (-3.3) | 128.9 (+22.1) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SFBK -8.0 (-3.0) | 127.4 (+23.6) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SFBK -8.9 (-3.9) | 128.2 (+22.8) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SFBK -9.4 (-4.4) | 129.7 (+21.3) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 17, 2022 | SFBK 67 – 51 HART |
| Dec 7, 2022 | SFBK 68 – 50 HART |
| Dec 5, 2021 | HART 68 – 55 SFBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SFBK | HART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-16 | 5-23 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 0-0 |
| Home | 10-5 | 5-10 |
| Away | 4-11 | 0-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.0 | 59.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 74.8 |
| Massey | -13.3 (#351) | -20.9 (#362) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.50 (#348) | -3.71 (#358) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.32 (#352) | -4.64 (#358) |
| RPI | 0.393 (#342) | 0.331 (#361) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SFBK | HART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.1% | 38.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 28.7% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 30.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.1% | 44.0% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 22.6% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 24.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 65.3% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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