Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | CLEM -300 TOW +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +5 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | CLEM -6.4 (-1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.3 (+19.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLEM -5.6 (-0.6) | 136.5 (+18.5) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -3.4 (+1.6) | 135.6 (+19.4) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -5.6 (-0.6) | 138.9 (+16.1) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLEM -5.1 (-0.1) | 139.9 (+15.1) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLEM | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 12-6 |
| Home | 15-2 | 10-2 |
| Away | 5-6 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 66.7 |
| Massey | 4.7 (#93) | 3.6 (#106) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.93 (#109) | 2.36 (#29) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.53 (#98) | 3.20 (#30) |
| RPI | 0.560 (#85) | 0.549 (#106) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLEM | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 39.8% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.1 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 23.3% | 36.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.7% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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