Betting Lines
| Spread | DAV -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | DAV -1200 WCU +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAV +8 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | DAV -11.7 (-3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.9 (-19.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAV -9.7 (-1.7) | 150.6 (-14.6) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAV -11.1 (-3.1) | 148.5 (-12.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAV -9.9 (-1.9) | 150.3 (-14.3) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAV -9.9 (-1.9) | 150.9 (-14.9) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAV | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 10-8 |
| Home | 7-8 | 9-5 |
| Away | 6-6 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.3 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 72.7 |
| Massey | -0.8 (#197) | -7.2 (#300) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.92 (#111) | -1.78 (#311) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.41 (#102) | -3.24 (#330) |
| RPI | 0.576 (#68) | 0.406 (#312) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAV | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 21.7% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 28.4% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.0% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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