Betting Lines
| Spread | WVU -18.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | WVU -2400 NAVY +1150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WVU +21 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | WVU -19.0 (+2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.3 (+7.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WVU -18.3 (+2.7) | 143.9 (+5.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WVU -16.3 (+4.7) | 143.7 (+5.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WVU -16.6 (+4.4) | 146.1 (+2.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WVU -16.6 (+4.4) | 147.9 (+1.1) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WVU | NAVY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 18-13 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 11-7 |
| Home | 13-4 | 9-6 |
| Away | 3-8 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 65.3 |
| Massey | 16.6 (#7) | 2.9 (#119) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.24 (#32) | 0.62 (#129) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.67 (#17) | 0.57 (#139) |
| RPI | 0.622 (#30) | 0.526 (#137) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WVU | NAVY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.9% | 48.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.4% | 41.0% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 56.8% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 14.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.6% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.1% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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