Betting Lines
| Spread | VT -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.0 Under |
| Money | VT -335 DAY +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VT +28 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | VT -9.7 (+18.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.0 (-2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VT -11.3 (+16.7) | 132.5 (-6.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VT -8.2 (+19.8) | 128.8 (-2.8) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VT -9.0 (+19.0) | 133.0 (-7.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VT -9.0 (+19.0) | 132.6 (-6.6) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 12, 2021 | DAY 62 – 57 VT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VT | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 12-6 |
| Home | 13-4 | 14-2 |
| Away | 2-10 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 61.0 |
| Massey | 6.8 (#68) | 2.4 (#128) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.49 (#25) | -0.59 (#238) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.44 (#23) | -0.56 (#222) |
| RPI | 0.621 (#31) | 0.476 (#215) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VT | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.6% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 27.6% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.64 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.3% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 13.7% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 16.8% | 29.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 43.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 11.9% | 17.5% |
Game Analysis
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