Betting Lines
| Spread | CBU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | CBU -500 WEB +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CBU +12 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | CBU -13.7 (-1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.5 (-12.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CBU -11.2 (+0.8) | 130.2 (-14.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CBU -9.0 (+3.0) | 128.8 (-12.8) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CBU -10.5 (+1.5) | 131.6 (-15.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CBU -10.4 (+1.6) | 132.2 (-16.2) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CBU | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 12-6 |
| Home | 13-5 | 8-4 |
| Away | 4-8 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 66.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.9 | 67.9 |
| Massey | -0.7 (#194) | -9.0 (#320) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.25 (#203) | -1.82 (#312) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.35 (#207) | -2.66 (#318) |
| RPI | 0.452 (#248) | 0.395 (#321) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CBU | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 29.1% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 28.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 6.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 22.5% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 19.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 33.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 60.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 77.5% | 79.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.9% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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