Betting Lines
| Spread | WSU -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Under |
| Money | WSU -1000 NKU +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WSU +21 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | WSU -18.0 (+3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.4 (-19.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WSU -13.7 (+7.3) | 135.8 (-20.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WSU -15.5 (+5.5) | 137.0 (-22.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WSU -13.7 (+7.3) | 137.7 (-22.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WSU -14.5 (+6.5) | 137.7 (-22.7) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WSU | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 14-6 |
| Home | 10-4 | 14-3 |
| Away | 4-8 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 64.7 |
| Massey | 8.1 (#57) | -4.5 (#257) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#223) | -0.71 (#251) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.13 (#186) | -0.82 (#236) |
| RPI | 0.463 (#237) | 0.445 (#258) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WSU | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 23.2% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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